Oscar predictions?

Not much Oscar chatter here (or anywhere, for that matter). Is anyone interested in watching the ceremony? More than likely I will be switching back and forth between the Oscars and the NBA game, all the while grading papers. I do like the films up for nomination this year–they’re all very strong. But I just don’t have that much enthusiasm. Still, I throw out these predictions (just twelve categories), knowing full well that I’ll be lucky if I get half of them right.

Best Picture: No Country for Old Men
Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson
Best Actor: Daniel Day Lewis
Best Actress: Ellen Page
Best Supporting Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Best Supporting Actress: Saoirse Ronan
Best Adapted Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson
Best Original Screenplay: Diablo Cody
Best Original Score: Dario Marianelli [Note: a fucking crime that Jonnny Greenwood was not nominated]
Best Foreign Film: The Counterfeiters
Best Animated Feature: Ratatouille
Best Documentary: Sicko

14 thoughts on “Oscar predictions?”

  3. I’ve lost interest in the Oscars since the busybody moralizing pricks in congress made it impossible to bet online (how did Barack and Hilary vote on this?)…but here’s how I’d bet, if I could, with the possible payouts on a $300 stake.

    $100 Best Director Paul Thomas Anderson There Will be Blood win $550 (I think this film will actually win)

    $25 Philip Seymour Hoffman Best Supporting Actor win $825 (a low bet because I believe the favorite Javier will take this)

    $25 Tilda Swinton Best Supporting Actress win $185 (I think she has a good chance, but, of course, Cate Blanchett may have a stronger one–she’s a fav and the win will make up for her inevitable loss in the Best Actress category)

    No bet on Best Actor: Day-Lewis is my lock of the week!! and according to the odds, you’d have to bet $1600 on him just to win $100. screw that!

    $50 Ellen Page Best Actress win $300 (a good chance as a sentimental move, though I think Julie Christie will take it)

    $100 Best Picture There Will be Blood win $400 (I think it will win–the only competition is the Coen film which may be too genre-ish for the academy!)

    so if all these bets are correct, I calculate that the congressional mf’s will have cost me about $1900…damn them!

    I also predict a Serious but Never Seen film will win Best Foreign Film, and Something Serious About Human Suffering will win Best Documentary.

    But it looks like, this year, There Will Be Oscar. And newcomer Ellen Page will prove that the Kodak Theater is No Country for Old Men. Cate Blanchett will demonstrate that in the Best Supporting Actress category, She’s Very Much There. And the French have nothing to be ashamed about, represented this year by culinary Rat Remy in Ratatouille in the Best Animated Feature category and by dead singer Edith Piaf in….oh, christ……back to you Mary!

  5. Oh, fiddly-dee. Why is no one predicting? Predictions, people, predictions! I’ll take anything. Like: how many times Jon Stewart will giggle that annoying, self-amused giggle (28 times).

  6. I predict that Stewart or somebody will point out that over a billion people are watching Hollywood’s greatest moment–some of them so poor they must huddle around the village’s only TV set, a black and white Zenith donated by Bono! and the only snack is goat dung.

  7. OK, predictions are difficult given how the blogosphere has dissected this puppy (hi arnab) forty ways from September. And, of course, I read these scribes every now and then (daily) so it all seems so intolerably overdetermined. I watched Michael Clayton again last night and think it to be a crackerjack piece of serious entertainment (you know older Academy members must have loved this film). This movie might push through with a surprise or two (original screenplay would be monumental and I would not be entirely shocked if Clooney’s name burst forward). I also predict somebody, somewhere wants to reward TWBB. Jack Fisk has never won an Oscar. Beyond Art Direction, I’d like to see editing and cinematography go TWBB’s way. I think Hal Holbrook and Ruby Dee are still in the race. I think Ellen Page could win (what if Julie Christie and Edith Piaf split the vote). Still, NCFOM will win at least five awards, including Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Screenplay and either editing or cinematography (or both). Sadly Transformers will win two awards.

  11. Arnab did indeed dominate the pool. Very loud. He also tied with SunHee in the final vote tally, squeaking ahead of me because he has his finger on the pulse of sentimental geriatric Academy voters. Fucker.

  12. ok, ok, those bastards in Congress actually saved me about $115, but that doesn’t mean I like them meddling in my online gambling.

    looks like Jeff had it called, though I don’t know how he fared on Transformers .

    I think the votes are getting younger and less sentimental these days–otherwise we would have had Ruby Dee and Holbrook winning, along with a nod for Julie Christie. but they seem to be taking to the hard-edged and violent, such as The Departed and this year’s winner. and Arnab, the only pool you dominate is the backyard baby pool in the shape of a turtle.

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